Lead
Robinhood’s futures and prediction-markets vice president and general manager, JB Mackenzie, said trading activity in prediction markets was rising ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. In comments reported by MarketScreener, citing MT Newswires, Mackenzie said interest in contracts tied to the Fed had grown substantially over the previous year.
The comments came as markets were pricing in roughly an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point hike, according to the report. Mackenzie discussed the activity with Romaine Bostick on Bloomberg’s The Close. He characterized Fed-related contracts as moving from relatively muted early adoption to one of Robinhood’s most popular contract categories.
The interview did not disclose specific trading-volume or revenue figures for contracts tied to the Fed. As a result, the reported popularity of those contracts should be read as Mackenzie’s description of activity within Robinhood’s broader event-contract offering rather than as a separate, quantified financial result.
Deal or Result Detail
Separate reporting has described substantial growth in Robinhood’s overall event-contract business. Crypto Briefing reported that the business grew roughly 15 times year over year in August. The same report said Robinhood generated $156 million in event-contract revenue during the second quarter of 2026 and that 13.6 billion event contracts traded during that quarter.
Those figures cover the event-contract segment as a whole, not Fed-related contracts specifically. They therefore provide context for the scale of Robinhood’s broader activity but do not establish what portion of revenue or trading volume came from macroeconomic contracts.
A widening product catalog
Robinhood’s event-contract offering has expanded from politically themed contracts into player-specific sports contracts and broader sporting-event outcomes, according to the supplementary reporting. That report also described an upcoming election hub, illustrating the range of categories associated with the company’s event-contract business.
In June 2026, Robinhood launched Rothera, described as a CFTC-licensed joint-venture exchange built for event contracts. The company also maintains partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx to route contracts, according to the same reporting. Together, those arrangements provide context for the infrastructure supporting Robinhood’s catalog.
Competitive pressure builds
The available reporting centers on Robinhood’s own event-contract expansion and does not provide comparable, verified figures for other companies. For Robinhood, Mackenzie’s comments put Fed-related contracts within a broader business that has reported rapid growth, while leaving the specific contribution of any individual rate-decision market undisclosed.
That distinction is important as attention turns to the Federal Reserve decision. The reported activity indicates growing interest in Fed-linked contracts on Robinhood, but the available evidence does not show whether that interest will persist after the decision or how it compares with trading in the company’s other event categories.
Â
